Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Raffl wins 35.4% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raffl 45.6% vs Richards 49.6% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 62.1%
Defensive zone
Richards 75.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 51.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Raffl
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Raffl
Richards
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
1
0
Raffl
Richards
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
1
Raffl
Richards
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raffl
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (68)
49.7% (352)
-11.5%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
42.9% (7)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
49.1% (116)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Raffl is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Raffl shoots left. Richards is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Raffl
Richards
Home
48.1% (27)
49.4% (247)
Away
36.4% (55)
49.6% (228)
By Period
Raffl
Richards
P1
45.5%
53.8%
P2
45.2%
47.7%
P3
31.0%
47.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
40.2%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |