Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Richards wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Santorelli 51.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 87.9%
Defensive zone
Richards 67.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 76.8%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Richards
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Richards
Santorelli
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
1
Richards
Santorelli
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
2
Richards
Santorelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Santorelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
50.5% (333)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
55.4% (56)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
53.3% (30)
+5.3%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Richards is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Richards shoots left. Santorelli is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Richards
Santorelli
Home
57.0% (444)
54.2% (179)
Away
51.0% (463)
49.2% (240)
By Period
Richards
Santorelli
P1
53.4%
49.6%
P2
55.8%
51.8%
P3
51.9%
52.7%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2014 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:11 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Mike Richards |