Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Koivu 54.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 55.8%
Defensive zone
Richards 55.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 55.5%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Richards
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
27
(51 meetings)
24
27
Richards
Koivu
Last 10: Richards 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
10
12
Richards
Koivu
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
9
5
Richards
Koivu
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
5
10
Richards
Koivu
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
54.0% (9,465)
-4.0%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
58.6% (2,100)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
48.9% (1,688)
+2.5%
On even strength, Koivu has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Richards
Koivu
Home
50.8% (2,363)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Richards
Koivu
P1
49.6%
53.5%
P2
52.3%
54.6%
P3
49.3%
54.0%
OT
58.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 3, 2013 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |