Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.9% vs Koivu 54.9% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 87.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 69.6%
Neutral zone
Koivu 75.9%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Richards
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Richards
Koivu
Last 6: Richards 5-1 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Koivu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (529)
55.3% (1,268)
-5.8%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
57.6% (321)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (28)
51.0% (202)
-11.7%
On power play, Koivu has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Richards is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Richards shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Richards
Koivu
Home
47.9% (292)
58.3% (906)
Away
49.5% (301)
52.1% (885)
By Period
Richards
Koivu
P1
46.0%
53.0%
P2
52.0%
55.6%
P3
48.1%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 08:32 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |