Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 64.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Richards
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Richards
Bonino
Last 10: Richards 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
7
Richards
Bonino
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
2
Richards
Bonino
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
7
5
Richards
Bonino
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
50.6% (8,315)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
54.1% (972)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
44.6% (1,693)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Richards
Bonino
Home
50.8% (2,363)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Richards
Bonino
P1
49.6%
50.6%
P2
52.3%
48.5%
P3
49.3%
51.1%
OT
58.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2016 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Mike Richards |