Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Bonino 44.2% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 71.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 79.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 70.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Richards
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Bonino
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Richards
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (776)
43.3% (423)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (130)
45.5% (22)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (145)
20.0% (5)
+34.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Richards shoots left. Bonino is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Richards
Bonino
Home
47.2% (549)
44.1% (222)
Away
54.1% (518)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Richards
Bonino
P1
52.5%
43.9%
P2
50.9%
43.4%
P3
47.5%
41.6%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2012 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 3 | 12:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |