Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Acciari 51.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 77.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 78.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 53.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Richards
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Richards
Acciari
Last 6: Richards 1-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Richards
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Richards
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
52.8% (3,276)
-2.8%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
48.2% (85)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
47.1% (1,061)
+4.3%
On power play, Richards has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Richards
Acciari
Home
50.8% (2,363)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Richards
Acciari
P1
49.6%
52.2%
P2
52.3%
51.5%
P3
49.3%
50.5%
OT
58.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |