Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Marleau 51.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 51.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 56.1%
Neutral zone
Marleau 50.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Richards
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Richards
Marleau
Last 10: Richards 6-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Marleau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Richards
Marleau
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (776)
50.1% (347)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (130)
51.2% (41)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (145)
61.1% (72)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Richards shoots left. Marleau is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Richards
Marleau
Home
47.2% (549)
54.8% (263)
Away
54.1% (518)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Richards
Marleau
P1
52.5%
53.9%
P2
50.9%
47.5%
P3
47.5%
56.8%
OT
59.1%
14.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 08:37 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Mike Richards |