Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Marleau 52.2% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 62.8%
Defensive zone
Marleau 72.2%
Neutral zone
Marleau 61.0%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Richards
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Richards
Marleau
Last 6: Richards 2-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Richards
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
2
Richards
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Marleau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
56.4% (234)
-3.2%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
60.0% (10)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
39.1% (64)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Richards shoots left. Marleau is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Richards
Marleau
Home
57.0% (444)
52.7% (167)
Away
51.0% (463)
53.2% (141)
By Period
Richards
Marleau
P1
53.4%
51.5%
P2
55.8%
51.2%
P3
51.9%
55.9%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 19:42 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |