Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 49.2% vs Berglund 46.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 55.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 56.5%
Neutral zone
Berglund 55.4%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Richards
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Richards
Berglund
Last 8: Richards 3-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
Richards
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Richards
Berglund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (370)
46.3% (490)
+3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
52.4% (63)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
38.0% (50)
+1.0%
On even strength, Richards has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Richards shoots left. Berglund is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Richards
Berglund
Home
52.3% (214)
49.8% (295)
Away
45.8% (227)
42.9% (308)
By Period
Richards
Berglund
P1
47.3%
47.5%
P2
53.2%
46.4%
P3
46.3%
45.7%
OT
60.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |