Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 28-22 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 74.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 85.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 76.0%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Richards
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
22
(50 meetings)
28
22
Richards
Gaustad
Last 10: Richards 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
20
3
Richards
Gaustad
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
5
10
Richards
Gaustad
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
3
9
Richards
Gaustad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
58.2% (4,334)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
65.4% (188)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
54.8% (1,290)
-3.4%
On power play, Gaustad has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Richards
Gaustad
Home
50.8% (2,363)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Richards
Gaustad
P1
49.6%
58.2%
P2
52.3%
56.4%
P3
49.3%
58.3%
OT
58.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 28, 2013 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 08:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |