Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Umberger 49.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Umberger 59.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 84.7%
Neutral zone
Richards 63.9%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Richards
Umberger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Richards
Umberger
Last 8: Richards 5-3 Umberger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Umberger
1
2
Richards
Umberger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
4
0
Richards
Umberger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Umberger
0
1
Richards
Umberger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Umberger
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (776)
50.6% (164)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (130)
49.1% (114)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (145)
40.0% (25)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Umberger shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Richards shoots left. Umberger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Richards
Umberger
Home
47.2% (549)
48.8% (166)
Away
54.1% (518)
49.3% (140)
By Period
Richards
Umberger
P1
52.5%
43.7%
P2
50.9%
52.6%
P3
47.5%
51.4%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Umberger
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:41 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | R.J. Umberger |
| Feb 1, 2012 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Mike Richards |