Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Peverley 58.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Peverley 65.3%
Defensive zone
Peverley 70.9%
Neutral zone
Peverley 72.7%
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Richards
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richards
Peverley
Last 6: Richards 4-2 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Peverley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Peverley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
62.8% (414)
-9.6%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
54.2% (96)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
52.2% (69)
+6.4%
On even strength, Peverley has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Richards is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Richards shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Richards
Peverley
Home
57.0% (444)
63.9% (324)
Away
51.0% (463)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Richards
Peverley
P1
53.4%
63.3%
P2
55.8%
60.1%
P3
51.9%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mike Richards |