Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.9% vs Kesler 56.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 68.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 73.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 67.1%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Richards
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Richards
Kesler
Last 10: Richards 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Richards
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Richards
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (529)
57.4% (1,185)
-7.9%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
58.0% (243)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (28)
49.2% (236)
-9.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Richards is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Richards shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Richards
Kesler
Home
47.9% (292)
58.5% (793)
Away
49.5% (301)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Richards
Kesler
P1
46.0%
57.0%
P2
52.0%
55.4%
P3
48.1%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2014 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 3 | 11:01 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 12, 2014 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |