Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Couturier 47.9% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 65.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 84.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 73.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Richards
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Richards
Couturier
Last 5: Richards 1-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Richards
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Richards
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
48.5% (1,067)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
51.0% (51)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
43.4% (235)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Richards shoots left. Couturier is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Richards
Couturier
Home
57.0% (444)
49.4% (620)
Away
51.0% (463)
46.4% (733)
By Period
Richards
Couturier
P1
53.4%
47.1%
P2
55.8%
50.4%
P3
51.9%
45.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 3 | 12:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |