Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 24-18 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 57.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 50.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 50.2%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Richards
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
18
(42 meetings)
24
18
Richards
Horcoff
Last 10: Richards 2-8 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
9
6
Richards
Horcoff
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
7
4
Richards
Horcoff
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Richards
Horcoff
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
50.6% (3,133)
-0.6%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
51.4% (555)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
43.0% (567)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Horcoff is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,000).
Home / Away
Richards
Horcoff
Home
50.8% (2,363)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Richards
Horcoff
P1
49.6%
48.2%
P2
52.3%
49.5%
P3
49.3%
50.9%
OT
58.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2016 | 3 | 01:31 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 10, 2016 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:15 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |