Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 61.8%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.4%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 51.8%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Richards
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Richards
Horcoff
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
6
1
Richards
Horcoff
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
1
Richards
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
Richards
Horcoff
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (776)
49.9% (976)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (130)
49.4% (241)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (145)
46.8% (233)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Richards is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Richards shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Richards
Horcoff
Home
47.2% (549)
52.1% (755)
Away
54.1% (518)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Richards
Horcoff
P1
52.5%
49.3%
P2
50.9%
47.9%
P3
47.5%
50.7%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 15, 2012 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Mike Richards |