Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Horcoff 50.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 77.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 55.2%
Neutral zone
Richards 66.6%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Richards
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Richards
Horcoff
Last 6: Richards 4-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Richards
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
52.7% (347)
+0.5%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
40.0% (20)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
36.0% (50)
+22.6%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Richards shoots left. Horcoff is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Richards
Horcoff
Home
57.0% (444)
57.0% (165)
Away
51.0% (463)
45.6% (252)
By Period
Richards
Horcoff
P1
53.4%
46.8%
P2
55.8%
50.6%
P3
51.9%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |