Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.9% vs Horcoff 50.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 60.5%
Defensive zone
Richards 60.0%
Neutral zone
Richards 59.7%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Richards
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Richards
Horcoff
Last 10: Richards 2-8 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Richards
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
4
Richards
Horcoff
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (529)
50.5% (374)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
55.0% (60)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (28)
39.5% (38)
-0.2%
On power play, Horcoff has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Richards is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Richards shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Richards
Horcoff
Home
47.9% (292)
50.2% (263)
Away
49.5% (301)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Richards
Horcoff
P1
46.0%
49.0%
P2
52.0%
53.2%
P3
48.1%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
48.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:15 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Mike Richards |