Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Richards wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Stamkos 49.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 59.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 58.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.8%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Richards
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Richards
Stamkos
Last 8: Richards 3-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Richards
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Richards
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
49.0% (433)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
54.3% (70)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
38.5% (26)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Richards is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Richards shoots left. Stamkos is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Richards
Stamkos
Home
57.0% (444)
51.1% (327)
Away
51.0% (463)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Richards
Stamkos
P1
53.4%
46.6%
P2
55.8%
51.5%
P3
51.9%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |