Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Connolly 47.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 62.3%
Defensive zone
Richards 76.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 70.1%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Richards
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Richards
Connolly
Last 10: Richards 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Richards
Connolly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
3
0
Richards
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
4
3
Richards
Connolly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
47.4% (1,307)
+2.6%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
50.2% (251)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
41.9% (186)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Richards is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,577).
Richards shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Richards
Connolly
Home
50.8% (2,363)
48.5% (870)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Richards
Connolly
P1
49.6%
47.4%
P2
52.3%
47.7%
P3
49.3%
47.0%
OT
58.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 11, 2011 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 1 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |