Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Smith 48.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 58.3%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Richards
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Richards
Smith
Last 8: Richards 3-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Richards
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Richards
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
49.0% (769)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
63.6% (22)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
42.4% (118)
+9.0%
On power play, Smith has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Richards
Smith
Home
50.8% (2,363)
52.4% (490)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Richards
Smith
P1
49.6%
46.9%
P2
52.3%
51.2%
P3
49.3%
47.7%
OT
58.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |