Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Richards wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 53.5% vs Smith 46.1% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 74.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 74.0%
Result
Trevor Smith favored at 74.3%
25.7%
74.3%
Richards
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richards
Smith
Last 7: Richards 2-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Richards
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Richards
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (752)
44.7% (244)
+8.5%
Power Play
56.5% (85)
33.3% (6)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (70)
50.0% (8)
+8.6%
On power play, Richards has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Richards is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Richards shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Richards
Smith
Home
57.0% (444)
51.3% (158)
Away
51.0% (463)
34.0% (100)
By Period
Richards
Smith
P1
53.4%
37.2%
P2
55.8%
53.9%
P3
51.9%
40.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
53.9%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Mike Richards |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |