Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Parise on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.5% vs Parise 42.2% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Parise 88.5%
Defensive zone
Parise 65.1%
Neutral zone
Parise 79.0%
Result
Zach Parise favored at 77.3%
22.7%
77.3%
Richards
Parise
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Richards
Parise
Last 8: Richards 2-6 Parise
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Parise
0
1
Richards
Parise
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Parise
2
5
Richards
Parise
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,722)
40.9% (352)
+9.1%
Power Play
54.6% (445)
41.1% (95)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (502)
35.0% (40)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Richards shoots left. Parise is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Richards
Parise
Home
50.8% (2,363)
36.1% (238)
Away
50.3% (2,336)
44.8% (250)
By Period
Richards
Parise
P1
49.6%
44.8%
P2
52.3%
39.4%
P3
49.3%
37.3%
OT
58.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
48.8%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 15:31 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zach Parise |