Scouting Report
Mike Rupp holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rupp on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rupp 51.2% vs Carter 49.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rupp 56.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 57.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.4%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Rupp
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Rupp
Carter
Last 10: Rupp 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Rupp
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rupp
4
2
Rupp
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Rupp
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rupp
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (187)
50.1% (978)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
60.0% (15)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.4% (138)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Rupp is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Rupp shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Rupp
Carter
Home
45.7% (127)
49.0% (506)
Away
59.6% (99)
50.3% (632)
By Period
Rupp
Carter
P1
44.8%
50.5%
P2
59.8%
48.9%
P3
50.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.8%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Mar 27, 2011 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |
| Nov 5, 2010 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |