Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 86.0%
Defensive zone
Richards 80.5%
Neutral zone
Richards 78.2%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Richards
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Richards
Santorelli
Last 5: Richards 4-1 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Santorelli
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
2
1
Richards
Santorelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Santorelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
45.1% (348)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
42.4% (33)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
0.0% (3)
+51.4%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Santorelli is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Richards
Santorelli
Home
52.2% (668)
49.5% (188)
Away
51.4% (648)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Richards
Santorelli
P1
50.1%
48.8%
P2
52.4%
40.7%
P3
52.9%
47.0%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 18:25 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Brad Richards |