Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rolston wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rolston 43.4% vs Santorelli 50.2% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 53.3%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 50.8%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 51.5%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Rolston
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rolston
Santorelli
Last 5: Rolston 2-3 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
3
Rolston
Santorelli
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rolston
1
0
Rolston
Santorelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rolston
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (80)
48.7% (754)
-13.7%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
57.9% (183)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (43)
49.4% (87)
-9.9%
On even strength, Santorelli has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Rolston is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Rolston shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Home / Away
Rolston
Santorelli
Home
36.6% (71)
50.0% (502)
Away
40.6% (64)
50.4% (530)
By Period
Rolston
Santorelli
P1
35.1%
53.4%
P2
38.0%
50.4%
P3
42.2%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rolston
50.0%▲
42.5%
38.5%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Brian Rolston |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brian Rolston |