Derek MacKenzie vs Mike Santorelli
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Santorelli on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.3% vs Santorelli 51.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 59.2%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 57.1%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 51.8%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
MacKenzie
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKenzie
Santorelli
Last 6: MacKenzie 2-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
3
MacKenzie
Santorelli
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
MacKenzie
Santorelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (377)
50.5% (333)
+4.4%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
55.4% (56)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (109)
53.3% (30)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (215).
MacKenzie shoots left. Santorelli is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Santorelli
Home
51.9% (237)
54.2% (179)
Away
51.2% (260)
49.2% (240)
By Period
MacKenzie
Santorelli
P1
49.7%
49.6%
P2
50.6%
51.8%
P3
53.5%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
51.5%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:42 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |