Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McClement on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McClement wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 53.4% vs Santorelli 51.1% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 51.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 82.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 71.7%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
McClement
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McClement
Santorelli
Last 5: McClement 4-1 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
1
McClement
Santorelli
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
4
0
McClement
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (927)
50.5% (333)
+5.2%
Power Play
75.0% (12)
55.4% (56)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (321)
53.3% (30)
-6.3%
On power play, McClement has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. McClement is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (449).
McClement shoots left. Santorelli is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
McClement
Santorelli
Home
55.9% (571)
54.2% (179)
Away
51.8% (689)
49.2% (240)
By Period
McClement
Santorelli
P1
55.8%
49.6%
P2
52.3%
51.8%
P3
53.3%
52.7%
OT
52.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
53.7%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Jay McClement |