Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Lucic 46.6% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucic 59.8%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 81.0%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 68.0%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Santorelli
Lucic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Santorelli
Lucic
Last 7: Santorelli 5-2 Lucic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Santorelli
Lucic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
1
Santorelli
Lucic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
0
Santorelli
Lucic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
44.4% (401)
+4.0%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
49.5% (198)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
33.3% (3)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Santorelli shoots right. Lucic is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Lucic
Home
50.4% (1,079)
48.3% (317)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
43.5% (285)
By Period
Santorelli
Lucic
P1
51.0%
41.3%
P2
49.7%
47.9%
P3
47.6%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2014 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Milan Lucic |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |