Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 50.2% vs Lucic 46.1% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 62.4%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 67.0%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 71.1%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Santorelli
Lucic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Santorelli
Lucic
Last 5: Santorelli 4-1 Lucic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
0
Santorelli
Lucic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Santorelli
Lucic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
0
Santorelli
Lucic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Lucic
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (754)
36.4% (44)
+12.3%
Power Play
57.9% (183)
50.0% (10)
+7.9%
On even strength, Santorelli has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lucic shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Santorelli shoots right. Lucic is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Lucic
Home
50.0% (502)
36.7% (30)
Away
50.4% (530)
41.7% (24)
By Period
Santorelli
Lucic
P1
53.4%
23.5%
P2
50.4%
45.5%
P3
46.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Milan Lucic |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 11:19 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |