Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.0%). Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 82.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 53.2%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 59.4%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Santorelli
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Santorelli
Bonino
Last 10: Santorelli 4-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
Santorelli
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
1
Santorelli
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
6
Santorelli
Bonino
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
50.6% (8,315)
-2.2%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
54.1% (972)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
44.6% (1,693)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Santorelli shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Bonino
Home
50.4% (1,079)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Santorelli
Bonino
P1
51.0%
50.6%
P2
49.7%
48.5%
P3
47.6%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.9%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:21 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |