Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 50.2% vs Foligno 48.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.3%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 71.5%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 53.5%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Santorelli
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Santorelli
Foligno
Last 8: Santorelli 5-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
3
1
Santorelli
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Santorelli
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (754)
46.6% (103)
+2.1%
Power Play
57.9% (183)
45.5% (33)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (87)
100.0% (1)
-50.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Santorelli shoots right. Foligno is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Foligno
Home
50.0% (502)
52.9% (70)
Away
50.4% (530)
41.2% (68)
By Period
Santorelli
Foligno
P1
53.4%
35.6%
P2
50.4%
53.1%
P3
46.9%
52.4%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:50 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |