Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 50.2% vs Elias 45.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 55.0%
Defensive zone
Elias 67.3%
Neutral zone
Elias 57.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Santorelli
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Santorelli
Elias
Last 9: Santorelli 4-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
4
Santorelli
Elias
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
0
Santorelli
Elias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
1
Santorelli
Elias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (754)
44.5% (407)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.9% (183)
47.8% (23)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (87)
46.8% (62)
+2.6%
On power play, Santorelli has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Santorelli shoots right. Elias is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Elias
Home
50.0% (502)
44.8% (252)
Away
50.4% (530)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Santorelli
Elias
P1
53.4%
43.0%
P2
50.4%
47.8%
P3
46.9%
43.4%
OT
53.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:08 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 08:52 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |