Mike Santorelli vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 69.4%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 72.7%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 71.1%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Santorelli
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Santorelli
Stastny
Last 6: Santorelli 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Santorelli
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Santorelli
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.2%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Santorelli shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Stastny
Home
50.4% (1,079)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Santorelli
Stastny
P1
51.0%
56.3%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
47.6%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |