Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 50.2% vs Stastny 53.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 64.0%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 61.4%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 65.8%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Santorelli
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Santorelli
Stastny
Last 6: Santorelli 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Santorelli
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
4
Santorelli
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (754)
52.2% (1,107)
-3.5%
Power Play
57.9% (183)
61.0% (254)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (87)
46.4% (138)
+3.0%
On even strength, Stastny has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Santorelli is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Santorelli shoots right. Stastny is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (465).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Stastny
Home
50.0% (502)
52.5% (785)
Away
50.4% (530)
53.9% (739)
By Period
Santorelli
Stastny
P1
53.4%
51.3%
P2
50.4%
55.2%
P3
46.9%
52.6%
OT
53.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 03:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |