Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Regin 44.3% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 79.4%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 65.5%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 68.6%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Santorelli
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Santorelli
Regin
Last 8: Santorelli 6-2 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Santorelli
Regin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
0
Santorelli
Regin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
3
1
Santorelli
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
45.8% (836)
+2.6%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
39.2% (74)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
24.7% (73)
+23.8%
On penalty kill, Santorelli has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Santorelli shoots right. Regin is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (334).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Regin
Home
50.4% (1,079)
42.6% (533)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
45.1% (450)
By Period
Santorelli
Regin
P1
51.0%
46.7%
P2
49.7%
43.9%
P3
47.6%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |