Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Santorelli 49.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Santorelli 52.9%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 53.3%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 53.6%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Santorelli
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
12
(23 meetings)
11
12
Santorelli
Bozak
Last 10: Santorelli 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Santorelli
Bozak
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Santorelli
Bozak
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
4
Santorelli
Bozak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Santorelli
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,835)
53.7% (9,596)
-5.3%
Power Play
56.0% (298)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (132)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.5%
On even strength, Bozak has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Santorelli is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (722).
Santorelli shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Santorelli
Bozak
Home
50.4% (1,079)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.5% (1,199)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Santorelli
Bozak
P1
51.0%
53.2%
P2
49.7%
52.8%
P3
47.6%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:12 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |