Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zigomanis on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 55.8% vs Zigomanis 50.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zigomanis 63.2%
Defensive zone
Zigomanis 54.1%
Neutral zone
Zigomanis 56.9%
Result
Mike Zigomanis favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Spezza
Zigomanis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Spezza
Zigomanis
Last 5: Spezza 1-4 Zigomanis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zigomanis
0
3
Spezza
Zigomanis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Zigomanis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Zigomanis
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (795)
45.8% (24)
+10.3%
Power Play
56.9% (211)
100.0% (3)
-43.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (190)
53.8% (13)
+2.5%
On power play, Zigomanis has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zigomanis shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Spezza shoots right. Zigomanis is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Spezza
Zigomanis
Home
56.6% (532)
51.7% (29)
Away
56.0% (678)
54.5% (11)
By Period
Spezza
Zigomanis
P1
58.8%
38.5%
P2
59.6%
57.1%
P3
50.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
14.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Zigomanis
52.5%▬
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Mike Zigomanis |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mike Zigomanis |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Mike Zigomanis |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Mike Zigomanis |