Chris Kelly vs Mikhail Grabovski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.2%). Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.1% vs Grabovski 50.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 28-18 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Grabovski 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 61.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.4%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Kelly
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
18
(46 meetings)
28
18
Kelly
Grabovski
Last 10: Kelly 7-3 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
4
5
Kelly
Grabovski
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
16
5
Kelly
Grabovski
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
8
8
Kelly
Grabovski
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,010)
50.0% (3,443)
+1.1%
Power Play
60.6% (71)
52.1% (459)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (689)
45.2% (104)
-0.5%
On power play, Kelly has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Kelly is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,408).
Kelly shoots left. Grabovski is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,613).
Home / Away
Kelly
Grabovski
Home
52.6% (1,965)
51.0% (2,090)
Away
47.4% (1,813)
49.3% (1,966)
By Period
Kelly
Grabovski
P1
49.2%
50.0%
P2
49.1%
49.9%
P3
51.9%
50.6%
OT
53.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2015 | 3 | 08:09 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 11:38 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 15:25 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2011 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 30, 2011 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |