Scouting Report
Darren Helm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 52.3% vs Grabovski 48.5% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 78.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 58.0%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 61.5%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Helm
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Helm
Grabovski
Last 5: Helm 1-4 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
2
Helm
Grabovski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
2
Helm
Grabovski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (678)
47.8% (992)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
51.4% (222)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (235)
42.9% (77)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Helm has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Helm is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Helm shoots left. Grabovski is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Helm
Grabovski
Home
56.5% (444)
50.0% (658)
Away
49.0% (494)
46.9% (668)
By Period
Helm
Grabovski
P1
54.6%
49.3%
P2
51.8%
47.2%
P3
51.4%
48.4%
OT
60.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
52.6%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |