David Backes vs Mikhail Grabovski
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Grabovski 48.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 69.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 82.0%
Neutral zone
Backes 76.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Backes
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Backes
Grabovski
Last 8: Backes 6-2 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Grabovski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
0
Backes
Grabovski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
3
2
Backes
Grabovski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
48.9% (427)
+3.2%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
37.5% (32)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
0.0% (4)
+49.3%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Grabovski is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Backes
Grabovski
Home
53.1% (573)
49.4% (241)
Away
51.1% (619)
45.9% (222)
By Period
Backes
Grabovski
P1
51.8%
46.0%
P2
52.3%
49.4%
P3
52.6%
46.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:21 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:54 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |