Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Grabovski 51.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 57.4%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 57.3%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 56.0%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Staal
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Staal
Grabovski
Last 8: Staal 2-6 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Grabovski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
2
Staal
Grabovski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
3
Staal
Grabovski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
50.6% (786)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
61.2% (85)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
52.6% (19)
-7.0%
On power play, Grabovski has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Staal shoots left. Grabovski is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Staal
Grabovski
Home
53.9% (825)
51.5% (497)
Away
51.1% (856)
51.5% (408)
By Period
Staal
Grabovski
P1
54.8%
47.7%
P2
54.1%
52.5%
P3
48.6%
54.1%
OT
60.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:49 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |