Scouting Report
Kris Draper holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Draper on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draper wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draper 54.1% vs Grabovski 48.5% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draper 52.4%
Defensive zone
Draper 90.2%
Neutral zone
Draper 74.0%
Result
Kris Draper favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Draper
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Draper
Grabovski
Last 6: Draper 4-2 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
2
Draper
Grabovski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draper
3
0
Draper
Grabovski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draper
1
0
Draper
Grabovski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draper
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (78)
47.8% (992)
+4.8%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
51.4% (222)
+48.6%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (86)
42.9% (77)
+15.2%
On power play, Draper has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Draper is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Draper shoots left. Grabovski is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Draper
Grabovski
Home
62.0% (71)
50.0% (658)
Away
52.6% (97)
46.9% (668)
By Period
Draper
Grabovski
P1
55.6%
49.3%
P2
58.3%
47.2%
P3
56.7%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
61.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draper
62.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Kris Draper |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Kris Draper |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Kris Draper |