Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 49.9% vs Grabovski 48.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 64.6%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 60.2%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 64.0%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Goc
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Goc
Grabovski
Last 5: Goc 1-4 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
2
Goc
Grabovski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
2
Goc
Grabovski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (590)
47.8% (992)
+2.5%
Power Play
47.3% (55)
51.4% (222)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (39)
42.9% (77)
+3.3%
On power play, Grabovski has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Goc is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Goc shoots left. Grabovski is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Goc
Grabovski
Home
52.7% (283)
50.0% (658)
Away
48.0% (410)
46.9% (668)
By Period
Goc
Grabovski
P1
50.7%
49.3%
P2
50.7%
47.2%
P3
49.8%
48.4%
OT
20.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
48.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
49.9%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |