Matt Duchene vs Mikhail Grabovski
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Grabovski 50.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Grabovski leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Grabovski 68.9%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 70.0%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 66.5%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Duchene
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Duchene
Grabovski
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Grabovski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
1
3
Duchene
Grabovski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
6
10
Duchene
Grabovski
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
50.0% (3,443)
+3.9%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
52.1% (459)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
45.2% (104)
+3.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Grabovski is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,613).
Home / Away
Duchene
Grabovski
Home
55.6% (6,411)
51.0% (2,090)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
49.3% (1,966)
By Period
Duchene
Grabovski
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
54.5%
49.9%
P3
53.4%
50.6%
OT
56.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 11:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 17, 2011 | OT | 00:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 19:30 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 2 | 12:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |