Mikhail Grabovski vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 50.2% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 51.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Last 10: Grabovski 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
3
1
Grabovski
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grabovski
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
4
Grabovski
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (3,443)
46.1% (11,218)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.1% (459)
53.3% (1,412)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
42.8% (502)
+2.4%
On even strength, Grabovski has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Grabovski is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,443).
Grabovski shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Home
51.0% (2,090)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
49.3% (1,966)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Grabovski
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
47.4%
P2
49.9%
46.6%
P3
50.6%
46.1%
OT
53.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |