Mikhail Grabovski vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 48.1% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.3%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 67.2%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 56.8%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Last 7: Grabovski 2-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Grabovski
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Grabovski
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Grabovski
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (427)
48.2% (849)
+0.7%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
51.0% (151)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
44.7% (47)
-44.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Grabovski is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Grabovski shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Grabovski
MacKinnon
Home
49.4% (241)
51.2% (521)
Away
45.9% (222)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Grabovski
MacKinnon
P1
46.0%
49.9%
P2
49.4%
48.0%
P3
46.6%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |