Mikhail Grabovski vs Paul Gaustad
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 51.3% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 92.8%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 65.0%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 75.5%
Result
Mikhail Grabovski favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Grabovski
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Grabovski
Gaustad
Last 8: Grabovski 1-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Grabovski
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Grabovski
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Grabovski
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (786)
57.8% (854)
-7.2%
Power Play
61.2% (85)
56.0% (25)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (19)
55.1% (263)
-2.5%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Grabovski is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Grabovski shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Gaustad
Home
51.5% (497)
61.3% (633)
Away
51.5% (408)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Grabovski
Gaustad
P1
47.7%
57.9%
P2
52.5%
55.3%
P3
54.1%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
51.5%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 2 | 05:23 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |