Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grabovski 48.5% vs Carter 50.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grabovski 53.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 68.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 69.1%
Result
Ryan Carter favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Grabovski
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Grabovski
Carter
Last 7: Grabovski 5-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
2
0
Grabovski
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Grabovski
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
2
0
Grabovski
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grabovski
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (992)
50.7% (404)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.4% (222)
57.1% (7)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (77)
50.0% (62)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Grabovski is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Grabovski shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Grabovski
Carter
Home
50.0% (658)
48.2% (220)
Away
46.9% (668)
52.7% (258)
By Period
Grabovski
Carter
P1
49.3%
53.2%
P2
47.2%
50.3%
P3
48.4%
48.7%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 18:12 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 16:48 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |